Contrarian beliefs

Table of contents

Sometimes I find myself having a belief that is not (yet) mainstream, or is otherwise unorthodox. Unfortunately I’m pretty bad at writing them down or otherwise acknowledging when a belief is contrarian, but here goes nothing.

  • Many types of ads could be replaced by user controlled recommendation systems.
  • Ethereum will overtake Bitcoin in market cap.
    • I was a bit overly optimistic on when this would happen, as can be seen in this Metaculus question I created.